MyScience   Martijn van de Pol        






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  1. McLean, N., Lawson, C., Leech, D. & van de Pol, M. 2016 Predicting when climate-driven phenotypic change affects population dynamics. Ecology Letters 19, 595-608

  2. Bailey, L.D. & van de Pol, M. 2016 climwin: An R Toolbox for Climate Window Analysis. PLoS ONE 11(12): e0167980.

  3. van de Pol, M., Bailey, L.D., McLean, N. Rijsdijk, L. Lawson, C.R. & Brouwer, L. 2016 Identifying the best climatic predictors in ecology and evolution. Methods in Ecology and Evolution 7, 1246–1257

  4. Lejeune, L., van de Pol, M., Cockburn, A., Louter, M. & Brouwer, L. (prov. Accepted) Male and female helper effects on maternal investment and adult survival in red-winged fairy-wrens. Behavioural Ecology 27: 1841-1850

  5. Mourocq, E., Bize, P., Bouwhuis, S. Bradley, R., Burke, T., Charmantier, A. de la Cruz, C., Drobniak, S.M. Espie, R.H.M., Herenyi, M., Hotker, H. Kempenaers, B., Kruger, O., Marzluff, J., Moller, A.P., Nakagawa, S., Phillips, R.A., Radford, A.N. Roulin, A., Schlicht, E., Torok, J., Valencia, J., van de Pol, M. , Warkentin, I.G., Wood, A.G., Winney, I.S., Griesser, M. 2016. Lifespan and reproductive cost explain interspecific variation in the optimal onset of reproduction. Evolution 70, 296-313




  1. Bakker, J.P., Baas, A.C., Bartholdy, J., Jones, L., Ruessink, G., Temmerman, S. & van de Pol, M. (2016). Environmental Impacts—Coastal Ecosystems. In North Sea Region Climate Change Assessment (pp. 275-314). Springer International Publishing.

  2. Bailey, L.D. & van de Pol, M. 2016 Tackling extremes: Challenges for ecological and evolutionary research on extreme climatic events. Journal of Animal Ecology 85, 85-96.

  3. Cockburn, A., Brouwer, L., Margraf, N., Osmond, H.L & van de Pol, M. 2016 Making the worst of a good job: cooperative breeding in superb fairy-wrens. In Cooperative Breeding in Vertebrates: Studies of Ecology, Evolution and Behaviour (ed. Koenig & Dickinson). Cambridge University Press.

  4. Lawson, C., Vindenes, Y., Bailey, L. & van de Pol, M. 2015 Environmental variation and population responses to global change. Ecology Letters, 18: 724-736.

  5. Herfindal, I., van de Pol, M., Nielsen, J.T., Sæther, B.E. & Møller, A.P. 2015 Climatic conditions cause complex patterns of covariation between demographic traits in a long-lived raptor. Journal of Animal Ecology 84, 702-711.

  6. Bailey, L.D. & van de Pol, M. 2015. R package climwin: Climate Window Analysis. Statistical software. URL:

  7. Ens, B.J., van de Pol, M. & Goss-Custard, J. (2014). The study of career decisions: Oystercatchers as social prisoners. Advances in the Study of Behavior, 46: 343-420.

  8. Brouwer, L., van de Pol, M. & Cockburn, A.  (2014) The role of social environment on parental care: offspring benefit more from the presence of female than male helpers. Journal of Animal Ecology 83: 491-503.

  9. van de Pol, M. & Atkinson, P., Blew, J., Crowe, O. Delany, S., Duriez, O., Ens, B., Hälterlein, B., Hötker, H., Laursen, K., Oosterbeek, K., Petersen, A., Thorup, O.,  Tjørve, K., Triplet, P. & YĂ©sou, P. (2014) A global assessment of the conservation status of the nominate subspecies of Eurasian oystercatcher (Haematopus ostralegus ostralegus). International Wader Studies 20: 47-61.

  10. Brouwer, L., van de Pol, M. & Cockburn, A. (2014) Habitat geometry does not affect levels of extrapair paternity in an extremely unfaithful fairy-wren. Behavioural Ecology  25: 531-537.

  11. van de Pol, M., Brouwer, L., Brooker, L.C., Brooker, M.G., Colombelli-Negrel, D., Hall, M.L., Langmore, N.E., Peters, A.   Pruett-Jones, S., Russell, E.M., Webster, M.S. & Cockburn, A.  (2013) Problems with using large-scale oceanic climate indices to compare climatic sensitivities across populations and species. Ecography 36: 249-255.

  12. Cockburn, A., Brouwer, L., Double, M.C., Margraf, N. & van de Pol, M. (2013) Evolutionary origins and persistence of infidelity in Malurus: the least faithful birds. Emu 113: 208-217.

  13. van de Pol, M., Osmond, H & Cockburn, A. (2012) Fluctuations in population composition dampen the impact of phenotypic plasticity on trait dynamics in superb fairy-wrens. Journal of Animal Ecology, 81: 411-421.

  14. van de Pol, M. (2012) Quantifying individual variation in reaction norms: how study design affects the accuracy, precision and power of random regression models. Methods in Ecology & Evolution, 3: 268-280.

  15. Dingemanse, N., Bouwman, K., van de Pol, M., van Overveld, T., Patrick, S., Matthysen, E. & Quinn, J. (2012) Variation in personality and behavioural plasticity across four populations of great tit Parus Major. Journal of Animal Ecology, 81: 116–126.

  16. van de Pol, M., Ens, B.J., Bakker, J.P. Esselink, P. (2012) Sealevel rise and increasing flooding risk of saltmarsh breeding birds. Levende Natuur 113: 123128.

  17. Brouwer, L., van de Pol, M., Atema, E. & Cockburn, A. (2011) Strategic promiscuity helps avoid inbreeding at multiple levels in a cooperative breeder where both sexes are philopatric. Molecular Ecology, 20: 4796–4807.

  18. van de Pol, M., Vindenes, Y,, Sæther, B.E., Engen, S.,  Ens, B.J., Oosterbeek, K., Tinbergen, J.M. (2011). Poor environmental tracking can make extinction risk insensitive to the colour of environmental noise. Proceedings of the Royal Society: Biological Sciences, 278: 3713-3722.

  19. van de Pol, M. (2011). R-package odprism: Optimal Design and Performance of Random Intercept and Slope Models.

  20. van de Pol, M. & Cockburn, A. (2011) Identifying the critical climatic time-window that affects trait expression. The American Naturalist 177: 698-707.

  21. van de Pol, M., Ens,B.J., Heg,D.H., Brouwer,L., Krol,J., Maier,M., Exo,K-M., Oosterbeek, K., Lok,T., Eising,C., Koffijberg,K. (2010) Do changes in the frequency, magnitude and timing of extreme climatic events threaten the population viability of coastal birds? Journal of Applied Ecology 47: 720-730.

  22. van de Pol, M., Vindenes, Y,, Sæther, B.E., Engen, S.,  Ens, B.J., Oosterbeek, K., Tinbergen, J.M. (2010). Effects of climate change and variability on population dynamics in a long-lived shorebird. Ecology 91: 1192-1204.

  23. van de Pol, M., Brouwer, L., Ens, B.J., Oosterbeek, K., Tinbergen, J.M. (2010). Fluctuating selection and the maintenance of individual and sex-specific diet specialization in free-living oystercatchers. Evolution 64: 836-851.

  24. Brouwer, L., Barr, I., van de Pol, M., Burke, T., Komdeur, J. & Richardson, D.S. (2010) MHC-dependent survival in a wild population: evidence for hidden genetic benefits gained through extra-pair fertilisations. Molecular Ecology 19: 3444-3455.

  25. van de Pol, M. (2010). Book review: Invisible connections: Why migratory shorebirds need the Yellow sea, by van de Kam et al., 2010. Emu 110, 378-379.

  26. van de Pol, M. (2010). Book review: Reproductive rates under competition, by M. Nicolaus, 2009. Ardea 98: 120-121.

  27. van de Pol, M. & Wright, J. (2009) A simple method for distinguishing within versus between-subject effects using mixed models. Animal Behaviour 77:753-758.

  28. van de Pol, M., Ens, B.J., Oosterbeek, K., Brouwer, L. Verhulst, S. Tinbergen, J.M., Rutten, A.L.,  de Jong, M.  (2009). Oystercatchers' bill shapes as a proxy for diet specialization: more differentiation than meets the eye. Ardea 97: 335-347.

  29. van de Pol, M. & Oosterbeek, K., Rutten, A.L., Ens, B.J., Tinbergen, J.M. & Verhulst, S. (2009). Biometric sex discrimination is unreliable when sexual dimorphism varies within and between years: an example in Eurasian oystercatchers Haematopus ostralegus. Ibis 151: 171-180.

  30. van de Pol, M. & Pen, I., Heg, D. & Weissing, F.J. (2007) Variation in habitat choice and delayed reproduction:  Adaptive queuing strategies or individual quality differences? The American Naturalist 170: 530-541

  31. van de Pol, M. & Verhulst, S. (2006) Age-dependent traits: a new statistical model to separate within- and between- individual effects. The American Naturalist 167: 766-773

  32. van de Pol, M., Bruinzeel, L.W., Heg, D., Van der Jeugd, H.P. & Verhulst, S. (2006). A silver spoon for a golden future: long-term effects of natal origin on fitness prospects of Oystercatchers (Haematopus ostralegus). Journal of Animal Ecology 75: 616-626

  33. van de Pol, M., Bruinzeel, L.W., Heg, D., Kuijper, A.L.W. & Verhulst, S. (2006) Experimental and observational evidence that reproductive performance improves with pair bond duration in oystercatchers (Haematopus ostralegus). Behavioral Ecology, 17: 982-991  

  34. van de Pol, M., Bakker, T, Saaltink, D.J. & Verhulst, S. (2006). Rearing conditions determine offspring survival independent of egg quality: a cross-foster experiment with Oystercatchers. Ibis 148: 203-210

  35. Bruinzeel, L.W., van de Pol, M. & Trierweiler, C. (2006). Competitive abilities of Oystercatchers (Haematopus ostralegus) occupying territories of different quality. Journal of Ornithology 147: 457-463

  36. van de Pol, M. (2006) State dependent life-history strategies: a long-term study on Oystercatchers. PhD thesis, University of Groningen, The Netherlands. ISBN 90-367-2677-8 

  37. Bruinzeel, L.W. & van de Pol, M. (2004). Site attachment of floaters predicts success in territory acquisition. Behavioral Ecology 15, 290-296.

  38. Bruinzeel, L.W. & van de Pol, M. (2003). Population decline of Oystercatchers on Schiermonnikoog. Limosa 76, 25-26. (in Dutch)

  39. Ens, B.J., Berrevoets, C., Bruinzeel, L.W., Bult, T., Haanstra, L., Hulscher, J.B., Koks, B., van de Pol, M., Rappoldt, C., Teunissen, W. & Verhulst, S. (2003). What causes the current decline of Oystercatchers in the Netherlands? Limosa 76: 34-38. (in Dutch)

Other publications:

  1. Ens, B.J., van de Pol, M., Hallmann, C., Oosterbeek, K. & Rappoldt, K. (2014). Can we predict population changes in the Eurasian Oystercatcher Haematopus ostralegus? BOU Proceedings - Avian Demography in a Changing  World

  2. van de Pol, M. (2009). 'The relation between food abundance, bill shape and survival of Oystercatchers'. SOVON Dutch Centre for Field Ornithology report (Government report in Dutch).

  3. van de Pol, M. & Pen, I., Heg, D. & Weissing, F.J. (2007) Habitat choice and delayed reproduction in Oystercatchers. In: CEES report 2006.

  4. Oosterbeek, K.H., van de Pol, M., de Jong, M.L., Smit, C.J. & Ens, B.J. (2006) Scholekster populatie studies: een bijdrage aan de zoektocht naar de oorzaken van de sterke achteruitgang van scholeksters in de Waddenzee. Alterra Research report nr. 1344. (Government report in Dutch)

  5. van de Pol, M., Bruinzeel, L.W., Heg, D., van der Jeugd, H.P. & Verhulst, S. (2006). Long-term effects of rearing conditions on fitness. In: CEES report 2005.

  6. Bruinzeel, L.W., van de Pol, M. & van Meerlo, M. (2004). Spatial behaviour of intruding Oystercatchers in the breeding area. In: PhD thesis of L.W. Bruinzeel. Search, settle, reside and Resign. University of Groningen.

  7. Bruinzeel, L.W. & van de Pol, M. (2004). What causes the population decline of breeding Oystercatchers?  In: CEES report 2003.

 In the media:

  • My paper on flooding risk was reviewed by M. Frederiksen in the Danish journal Dansk Orn Foren Tidsskr 104: 107-109 (2010).

  • My paper on flooding risk was reviewed in the Dutch journal Limosa (2010).

  • Research on Seychelles warblers highlighted at science website (July 2010).

  • UK national newspaper The Independent "Birds may increase their offspring's survival through infidelity"  (July 2010)

  • Dutch national newspaper NRC "De wadvogel ziet zijn nest verdwijnen onder water" (22-07-2010)

  • Dutch national newspaper Trouw "De dodelijke val op de kwelder" (07-07-2010)

  • Book ""Experiment NL" (part 2) included article about my research entitled "Species come and go" (May 2010)

  • Dutch science magazine Bionieuws: "Hamers en beitels doen het goed" (20-03-2010)

  • Radio interview on national Dutch radio in 'Vroege vogels' about the impact of sea level rise on salt marsh breeding birds (13-07-2008)

  • My PhD thesis was reviewed in the ornithological journal Ardea 95: 169-171 (June 2007)

  • A review of my PhD thesis was published in the Wader Study Group Bulletin 110: 12-13 (August 2006)

  • Radio interview on national Dutch radio in 'Wereldomroep' about divorce in Oystercatchers (21-08-2006)

  • Radio interview on national Dutch radio in 'Ontbijtradio' about divorce in Oystercatchers (14-07-2006)

  • Dutch national newspaper Telegraaf "Trouwe scholekster jongt beter" (06-07-2006)


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     last updated 15/12/16